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End-to-end modelling for research and management


  •  Stuart Corney
    Antarctic Climate and Ecosystem Co-operative Research Centre, University of Tasmania
    Hobart, Australia
  • Jessica Melbourne-Thomas
    Antarctic Climate and Ecosystem Co-operative Research Centre, University of Tasmania
    Hobart, Australia
  • Andrew Constable
    Southern Ocean Ecosystem Change Programme, Australian Antarctic Division
    Kingston, Australia

Description of the session

There is now good agreement on what constitutes an end-to-end ecosystem model, and the field has seen rapid advances in recent years. Many different model frameworks are available that resolve, to various levels of detail, interactions between oceanography, the broader environment (e.g. climate or cryosphere), biogeochemical cycles, foodweb dynamics and human industries and markets. In the face of these advances, there is a pressing need to synthesise available tools and approaches, and to identify key gaps that might affect the continued (and increasing) development and use of end-to-end models in decision-making. Such a synthesis is also an important means to avoid duplication of effort.

In this session we aim to promote an integrated approach across the modelling community in the development of end-to-end ecosystem models. We seek to synthesise the components, mechanics and applications that exist across the range of end-to-end models now available for marine ecosystems. Through invited and contributed talks and posters we will populate a matrix based around these three factors. Importantly, this synthesis will aid in identifying specific challenges that lie ahead in attempts to integrate the physical environment, food webs and human components into modelling frameworks useful for management.


Session Programme

Oral Presentations

Wednesday 25 June, 11:00-12:30 Parallel session 4 (A4.1)

Chair: Stuart Corney

Time  ID Presenter Title
11:00-11:05   Corney, Stuart Introduction
11:05-11:25 A4.1.O1 Maury, Olivier APECOSM, an Ocean General Ecosystem Model (OGEM) to study marine ecosystems from local to global scales. Application to the study of active and passive transport influence on global marine ecosystem dynamics
11:25-11:40 A4.1.O2 Fiechter, Jerome An end-to-end ecosystem model framework to study environmental controls on population dynamics and habitat utilization of forage fish and apex predators in the California Current.
11:40-11:55 A4.1.O3 Bedford, Merel A cartoon model for the Kerguelen Axis: modelling variable ice-states and predator-prey interactions
11:55-12:10 A4.1.O4 MiƱarro Villanueva, Sara An integrated individual-based model as a tool for socio-ecological management of coral reefs in Indonesia
12:10-12:20 A4.1.O5 Melbourne-Thomas, Jessica Introduction to SOKI: collaboration tools for end-to-end ecosystem models
12:20 -12:30     Poster presentations (3 minutes each)

Wednesday 25 June, 14:00-15:30 Parallel session 5 (A4.2)

Chair: Jessica Melbourne-Thomas

Time  ID Presenter Title
14:00-14:15 A4.2.O1 Kearney, Kelly Can volcanic-induced primary production explain high salmon returns?
14: 15-14:30 A4.2.O2 Ballerini, Tosca (tbc) Towards good practices in end-to-end modeling
14:30-14:45 A4.2.O3 Hansen, Cecilie Challenges when adapting an end-to-end model to high latitudes
14:45-15:00 A4.2.O4 Thorpe, Sally Modelling the early life cycle of Antarctic krill: circumpolar success and sensitivity
15:00-15:15 A4.2.O5 Politikos, Dimitrios Understanding of anchovy's migration cycle of in the Bay of Biscay through individual-based fish movement models
15: 15-15:30   Corney, Stuart & Melbourne-Thomas, Jessica  Synthesis and the way forward 

Poster Presentations 

Wednesday 25 June, 17:30, Poster Session 2

ID Presenter Title
A4.P1 Xia, Meng The development of an unstructured based bio-physical model to Lake Erie yellow perch recruitment
A4.P2 Ardelan, Murat Ocean Food web Patrol - Climate Effects: Reducing Targeted Uncertainties with an Integrated Network (OCEAN-CERTAIN)