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Working Group 4: Synthesis and Modelling

Key Scientific Questions

  • What is the relative importance of fisheries exploitation and the dynamic environment in structuring pelagic ecosystems?
  • Does one mechanism (e.g. match/mismatch) explain observed variation across species, trophic pathways, regions, etc.? Do alternative mechanisms have equally good explanatory power? Which mechanisms(s) provide the greatest predictive power?
  • What alternative states might occur in pelagic ecosystem records, how might they be characterised (e.g. can they be described by indicators), how might they be caused, what are their consequences, and are they reversible, given that the climate changes continuously?
  • Does knowledge about environmental forcing and the nature of fisheries (e.g. the species composition of the catch, growth variability, egg production rates by size/age) suggest an optimum allocation of fishing activities?

Working Group activities




  • Dueri, S., L. Bopp and O. Maury, 2014. Projecting the impacts of climate change on skipjack tuna abundance and spatial distribution. Global Change Biology: doi: 10.1111/gcb.12460. Article


  • Maury O., J.-C. Poggiale, 2013. From individuals to populations to communities: a Dynamic Energy Budget model of marine ecosystem size-spectrum including life history diversity. Journal of Theoretical Biology. 324 (2013) 52-71. Article
  • Maury O. , K. Miller, H. Arrizabalaga, O. Aumont, L. Campling, A. Fonteneau, P. Guillotreau, A. Hobday, M. Lutcavage, F. Marsac, G. Munro, Z. Suzuki and R. Murtuggude, 2013. A global Science-polivy partnership for progress towards sustainability of oceanic ecosystems and fisheries. COSUST 10.1016/j.cosust.2013.05.008. Article
  • Reygondeau, G., A. Longhurst, E. Martinez, G. Beaugrand, D. Antoine, and O. Maury (2013), Dynamic biogeochemical provinces in the global ocean, Global Biogeochem. Cycles, 27, doi:10.1002/gbc.20089. Article
  • José Y. S., O. Aumont, E. Machu, P. Penvena, C. L. Moloney & O. Maury, 2013. Influence of mesoscale eddies on biological production in the Mozambique Channel: Several contrasted examples from an Ocean Model. Accepted in DSRII


  • Dueri S. and O. Maury, 2012. Modelling the effect of marine protected areas on the population of skipjack tuna in the Indian Ocean. Aquatic Living Ressources DOI: 10.1051/alr/2012032. Article
  • Dueri S., B. Faugeras and O. Maury, 2012. Modelling the skipjack tuna dynamics in the Indian Ocean with APECOSM-E: Part 1. Model formulation. Ecological Modelling 245, 41-54. Article
  • Dueri S., B. Faugeras and O. Maury 2012. Modelling the skipjack tuna dynamics in the Indian Ocean with APECOSM-E. Part 2: Parameter estimation and sensitivity analysis. Ecological Modelling 245, 55-64. Article
  • Murphy E.J., R.D. Cavanagh, E.E. Hofmann, S.L. Hill, A.J. Constable, D.P. Costa, M.H. Pinkerton, N.M. Johnston, P.N. Trathan, J.M. Klinck, D.A. Wolf-Gladrow, K.L. Daly, O. Maury, S.C. Doney, 2012. Developing integrated models of Southern Ocean food webs: Including ecological complexity, accounting for uncertainty and the importance of scale. Prog. Oceanog. 102, 74-92. Article
  • Reygondeau G., Maury, O., Beaugrand G., Fromentin J.M., Fonteneau A. & Cury, P., 2012. Biogeography of tuna and billfish communities. Journal of Biogeography. 39, 114-129. Article

2010 and before

  • Lehodey P., O. Maury, 2010. CLimate Impacts on Oceanic TOp Predators (CLIOTOP): Introduction to the Special Issue of the CLIOTOP International Symposium, La Paz, Mexico, 3-7 December 2007. Prog. Oceanog. 2010. 86: 1-7. Article
  • Maury O., 2010. An overview of APECOSM, a Spatialized Mass Balanced "Apex Predators ECOSystem Model" to Study Physiologically Structured Tuna Population Dynamics in their Ecosystem. In Parameterisation of Trophic Interactions in Ecosystem Modelling, M. St John, P. Monfray (eds). Prog. Oceanogr. 2010. 84: 113-117. Article
  • Faugeras B., O. Maury, 2007. Modelling fish population movements: from an individual-based representation to an advection-diffusion equation. Journal of Theoretical Biology 247: 837-848. Article
  • Maury, O., Y-J. Shin, B. Faugeras, T. Ben Ari, and F. Marsac, 2007. Modelling environmental effects on the size-structured energy flow through marine ecosystems. Part 2: simulations. Prog. Oceanogr. 74(4) : 500-514. Article
  • Maury, O., B. Faugeras, Y-J. Shin, J.C. Poggiale, T. Ben Ari, and F. Marsac, 2007. Modelling environmental effects on the size-structured energy flow through marine ecosystems. Part 1: the model. Prog. Oceanogr. 74(4) : 479-499. Article


Olivier AUMONT




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